Surprise, surprise. Joe Biden finally admits what I’ve been saying: that those politicians didn’t know what they were talking about when it comes to the economy.
“The truth is, we and everyone else misread the economy. The figures we worked off of in January were the consensus figures and most of the blue chip indexes out there.” he said on George Stephanopoulos’ program on ABC.
‘Misread’ is an understatement. How about botched?
I only think that only one politician ever got it right. That person was Senator John McCain when he got flack for saying that he knew nothing about the economy. THAT is the sole reason I voted for him. He admitted not knowing. Of course that statement did change later during the campaign while he joined in on the meddling.
The issue is that we expect that the politicians should know about the economy, because we don’t. But even economists typically don’t know anything useful about the economy. Most of economics really is the study of past behaviors. Little can be done to truly predict what will happen in the future. Economists can only compare models and formulas in hope that by some stroke of luck, they get it right. Aside from that, they simply assert their own unproven theories as to what can and will correct issues. Sometimes they win; sometimes they lose.
Unfortunately for us, few have the patience and tolerance not to demand action from our government when trouble arrives. It is extremely difficult not to when yourself or loved-ones suddenly lose income.
The problem arrises in that the government, in hopes and under pressure to fix the economy, invaritably cause further harm or at best only delay recovery. Recent examples of this are found in both Sarbanes-Oxley and the stimulus packages. Neither ’solution’ was successful in completing their intended purposes.
Sarbanes-Oxley was meant to solve the problems mirrored by the ENRON scandal, and the stimulus was meant to halt the precipitice decline of the stock market (only one minor indicator of economic health) and push down the growing unemployment rate. Only the stock market seemed to stall in its free-fall. Meanwhile corporations continue to layoff workers and look for ways to stop dwindling profits.
All of this while increasing the budget deficit, expanding government control, increases the national debt, and raises the burden upon taxpayers in the future.
Even the ‘hugely successful’ Cash for Clunkers program only drove up sales temporarily for the ailing auto-industry. Were the two manufacturers in the deepest trouble really helped when Toyota, Honda, and Ford dominated the sales? With it over, are we continuing to see sales to that sustained volume? No.
Incidentally, Sarbanes-Oxley had a double-whammy effect on the stock market discouraging companies to go public here in the US and encourgaging them to choose foreign markets instead.
Overall, the best choice we have in fixing anything to do with the economy is to force the government to stay out of it. Unfortunately for us, the government firmly believes that no one can be successful without their guidance.